My life as a pundit

So much for that. NBC just called Texas for Hillary, giving her 3 of 4 states. Big wins in Rhode Island and Ohio, but a narrow win in Texas.

She’s still going to end the night behind in pledged delegates – and once the votes are counted and the caucus in Texas is factored in, I […]

Tuesday is it

I think three posts in an entire month is a new low for me… partly you can blame Twitter, where I post more frequently (albeit in shorter bursts), but mostly it’s Google’s fault.

Some quick thoughts on how Tuesday is going to play out: Texas has an insanely complex system, where they hold a […]

Can Barack win?

Not tomorrow, no. Nor can Hillary. Both will pick up a lot of delegates, but neither will get anywhere close to the 2000 needed to win the nomination. I think Barack has to hope for strong showings in California, New York City (not state, the city), and wins in several other states (Missourri, Colorado, Illinois, […]

Yes We Can

Beautiful.

Barack - a resounding victory

Barack’s victory was far broader than even the talking heads are reporting:

Among non-blacks under 30, he won 52% of the vote. Among all voters under 65, Barack won over 50% of the vote. (18-24: 65%, 25-29: 70%, 30-39: 62%, 40-49: 61%, 50-64: 51%). Only among those 65 and older, Hillary beat Barack 40%-32%. Barack won 54% of […]

Hillary vs. Barack, part 1,345

I found the following videos from fromer Chicago NOW president Lorna Brett Howard to be riveting. Up until just a couple weeks ago, she was a strong Hillary Clinton supporter. Active in pro-choice groups, Ms. Howard had previously hosted fundraisers for Hillary, yet she is now advocating strongly on behalf of Barack. Take a moment […]

Around and around we go

I honestly have no idea how Super Tuesday will play out. Given that many of the Super Tuesday states (for Democrats, at least – no clue on the Republican side) are states in which delegates are allocated proportionally (instead of winner take all), it seems likely that both Barack and Hillary will pick up a […]

Obama is a man of substance

In the comments to my last post, Allison (a good friend who lives in NH) shared her thoughts on why she thinks Hillary won:
1) I think Obama overplayed his hand. Sorry Rick, but we’re not big on vague here, and he wasn’t selling anything specific. Yes, people want change, and they want hope, but they […]

Thank you Iowa!

Wow.


(Click through if you can’t see this in your reader.)

We were driving back from San Diego, listening to CNN on XM Radio (my kids were thrilled). When Blitzer called Iowa for Barack I nearly drove off the road. I’m elated.

Quickly, here’s my predictions for NH: Barack Wins, Clinton places second (but a distant second). On […]

Three days away

In less than 72 hours, we’ll know the results of the Iowa caucus. Iowans will have made their choice, and they will set in motion a series of events that will result in the Democrats picking our nominee. I’ve been unabashed in my support of Barack Obama from day one: indeed, I wrote on this […]